27.14 Estimating the Premium Asset on Retrospectively Rate Policies - M. Teng and M. Perkins

Retro formula: (14.1)

Retro rating formula approach

  • \(\star\) PDLD formulas (14.4), (14.5), and (14.6)

  • Basic premium factor vs charge (charge is after tax)

Empirical approach

  • Assume premium lags (typically 9 month)

  • \(\star \star\) Cumulative PDLD (14.7) and calculating it recursively (14.8)

  • Practical application

    • First adjustment period might cover more than one policy period

Feldblum’s adjustment to the empirical \(CPDLD_1\) (14.9)