9.7 ODP vs GLM Bootstrap Summary

ODP Bootstrap is a specific case of the GLM model with the following parameters:

  • Parameters for every AY

  • Parameters for every development year minus the first

  • Variance of the incremental losses \(\propto\) mean

Solution is the same as volume weighted Chainladder

GLM Bootstrap is the general model

  • Can have as few as 1 row and/or column parameters

  • Can include CY trend

  • Variance of the incremental losses \(\propto\) \(m^z_{wd}\) (where \(z=1\) for this paper)